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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 51 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$3 −6.6% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$5 +28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 22 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 745d | No | 11 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 44 | 57¢ → 19¢ | $8 | −$17 −67% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 98d | Yes | 72 | 29¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$15 −71% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 72¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.