| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6,000 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $4,797 | +$1,797 +60% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6,000 | 49¢ → 20¢ | $1,203 | −$1,766 −59% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 3,469 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $500 | −$357 −42% |
| Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 447 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $415 | +$49 +13% |
| Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 283 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $273 | +$62 +30% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $75 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 280 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $207 | +$9 +4.4% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 220?Ends in 3d | Yes | 203 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $187 | +$29 +18% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 210 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $152 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 199 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $147 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Will Cata Coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $138 | +$4 +3.0% |
| Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 135 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $126 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,181 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $124 | +$6 +5.0% |
| Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 130 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $120 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 144 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $117 | −$5 −4.2% |
| AWS service disrupted by September 30?Ends ended | No | 127 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $109 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $65B?Ends in 4d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 87 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 86 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $83 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.0B?Ends in 31d | Yes | 82 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $80 | +$17 +28% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 86 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $79 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 101 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $67 | +$12 +21% |
| Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $19.0B?Ends in 60d | No | 75 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $63 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 81 | 61¢ → 74¢ | $60 | +$10 +21% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 61 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 100 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $53 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $52 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 451 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $52 | +$10 +24% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?Ends in 4d | No | 178 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $45 | +$7 +18% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $53B?Ends in 4d | No | 162 | 40¢ → 27¢ | $43 | −$22 −34% |
| Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 41 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Cata Coll finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $39 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 193 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $37 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Chandler Simpson win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 89¢ | $36 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 53¢ → 58¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will Nolan McLean win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 17¢ → 53¢ | $32 | +$21 +209% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $29 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Michael McGreevy win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 26¢ → 53¢ | $29 | +$15 +103% |
| AWS service disrupted by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 40 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 39¢ → 29¢ | $28 | −$10 −26% |
| Will Matt Olson win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 41 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $27 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $21 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Chase Meidroth win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 41 | 33¢ → 46¢ | $19 | +$5 +40% |
| Will Ty France win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 47¢ | $19 | +$8 +82% |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $7.6B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $61B?Ends in 4d | No | 23 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $18 | +$5 +35% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 260?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $95B?Ends in 25d | Yes | 20 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $16 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | No | 41 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $13 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$7 +130% |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$8 −41% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Ends in 112d | Yes | 151 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $11 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Cole Young win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 41 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.6B?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Phoenix be under an Extreme Heat Warning for 10+ days in August 2026?Ends ended | No | 20 | 4¢ → 26¢ | $5 | +$4 +478% |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $20B?Ends in 47d | Yes | 5 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Cody Bellinger win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$5 −55% |
| Will Ian Happ win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $3 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 59¢ → 42¢ | $3 | −$1 −28% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 19 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $3 | +$1 +49% |
| Will Stephen Kinnock be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Ends in 434d | Yes | 49 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?Ends in 204d | Yes | 15 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 19 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −60% |
| Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | Yes | 48 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −89% |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Alliance Guardians Win North America ACE Stage 3Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 17 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of August 17 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 805 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| ChatGPT outage on August 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ilya Morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Erik Seidel Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Nico Williams Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 169 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 145 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Alex Foxen Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will YFT Win North America ACE Stage 3Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Genie Erokhina advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US Trade Deficit be between $80 billion and $90 billion in June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
