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Polymarket wallet 0x37a784057674b45d61cfbd323f251d54dcc00efe · on Polymarket since Dec 8, 2024 · also shown as Defiant-Attention
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $8-10b one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 673d | BTC dominance down on Friday? | BuyYes3¢ | $0 |
| 673d | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo76¢ | $1 |
| 673d | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 675d | $PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 675d | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $8-10b one day after launch? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 683d | Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 683d | Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 683d | Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ | $0 |
| 683d | Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun? | BuyNo6¢ | $1 |
| 683d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 683d | Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 683d | Luigi Mangione charged by Friday? | BuyNo11¢ | $1 |
| 684d | Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview? | BuyYes<1¢ | $18 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.