| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 167 | 27¢ → 54¢ | $90 | +$45 +99% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $75 | +$36 +89% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 61 | 6¢ → 96¢ | $59 | +$55 +1633% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 65 | 4¢ → 67¢ | $44 | +$41 +1533% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 58 | 8¢ → 71¢ | $41 | +$36 +749% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 434d | Yes | 178 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $37 | −$18 −32% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 43 | 4¢ → 70¢ | $30 | +$29 +1860% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 44 | 15¢ → 64¢ | $29 | +$22 +338% |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 34 | 53¢ → 71¢ | $24 | +$6 +33% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 154 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$20 −47% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 25¢ → 52¢ | $21 | +$11 +104% |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 94 | 3¢ → 22¢ | $20 | +$17 +587% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 1¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$18 +6901% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 434d | Yes | 167 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $18 | −$4 −17% |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 79d | Yes | 18 | 7¢ → 93¢ | $17 | +$16 +1202% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 23 | 6¢ → 73¢ | $17 | +$15 +1110% |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 89 | 3¢ → 19¢ | $16 | +$14 +492% |
| Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 111 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $16 | +$13 +360% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 15 | 11¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$13 +748% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 54 | 4¢ → 27¢ | $14 | +$12 +562% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 53 | 12¢ → 27¢ | $14 | +$8 +114% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 57 | 4¢ → 25¢ | $14 | +$12 +511% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$9 +172% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Ends in 77d | Yes | 22 | 33¢ → 61¢ | $13 | +$6 +84% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$11 +575% |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 126 | 3¢ → 11¢ | $13 | +$9 +234% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 65 | 4¢ → 20¢ | $13 | +$10 +385% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 98¢ | $13 | +$12 +1077% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 78d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$11 +868% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 57 | 4¢ → 20¢ | $11 | +$9 +456% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 53 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 7¢ → 45¢ | $10 | +$9 +530% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 27¢ → 7¢ | $10 | −$30 −76% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 56 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $10 | −$5 −36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 4¢ → 15¢ | $9 | +$7 +272% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Ends in 128d | Yes | 15 | 6¢ → 61¢ | $9 | +$8 +989% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 35 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 96 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $8 | +$5 +172% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 7¢ → 20¢ | $8 | +$5 +168% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Ends in 111d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 89¢ | $8 | +$7 +1021% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 7¢ → 34¢ | $8 | +$6 +376% |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 111 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $8 | +$4 +113% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 433d | Yes | 167 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $8 | −$18 −70% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 597 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$16 −72% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 7 | 11¢ → 89¢ | $6 | +$5 +683% |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 93 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $6 | +$3 +108% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 32¢ | $6 | +$4 +284% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 50¢ → 38¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 89d | Yes | 12 | 6¢ → 50¢ | $6 | +$5 +692% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 29¢ | $6 | +$4 +156% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$5 +1455% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 433d | Yes | 167 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$15 −73% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 10¢ → 39¢ | $6 | +$4 +290% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 10¢ → 15¢ | $6 | +$2 +51% |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 8d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 93¢ | $6 | +$5 +458% |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$4 +254% |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 102 | 50¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$46 −89% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 5¢ → 44¢ | $5 | +$5 +770% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 49 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $5 | −$19 −78% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 10¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$3 +170% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$4 +224% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 65 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$8 −61% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 81¢ | $5 | +$2 +62% |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 54 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 78d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 24¢ | $5 | +$3 +276% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 78¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 497 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$18 −80% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 10¢ → 23¢ | $4 | +$3 +130% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 86d | Yes | 11 | 50¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$1 −20% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 89d | Yes | 12 | 6¢ → 34¢ | $4 | +$3 +436% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 79d | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 67¢ | $4 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 11¢ | $4 | +$2 +92% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 18¢ | $4 | +$3 +260% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 617 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$63 −94% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 5¢ → 60¢ | $4 | +$3 +1107% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 83d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 59¢ | $4 | +$3 +850% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 58 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$1 +49% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 27 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$2 +119% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Ends in 78d | Yes | 28 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $3 | +$2 +96% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 97d | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 56¢ | $3 | +$3 +455% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 10¢ → 23¢ | $3 | +$2 +130% |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 34 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $3 | +$0 +13% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 52¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $3 | +$2 +110% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 4¢ → 9¢ | $3 | +$2 +144% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 50¢ | $3 | +$3 +692% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 64¢ | $3 | +$3 +3747% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 5¢ → 12¢ | $3 | +$2 +140% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 48¢ | $3 | +$2 +660% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 46¢ | $3 | +$2 +638% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$1 −33% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$2 +139% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$2 +197% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Ends in 97d | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 43¢ | $3 | +$2 +328% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 32 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $3 | +$1 +60% |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $2 | +$1 +145% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 617 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$33 −93% |
