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Polymarket wallet 0x3d9b178fee7e99f928ce24eef3a4d0c73a9b49b5 · on Polymarket since Mar 27, 2025 · also shown as Overlooked-Hovel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $36 | +$24 +211% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 132 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$20 −81% |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | BuyYes32¢ | $11 |
| 289d | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 289d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 289d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ | $25 |
| 573d | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 573d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyYes45¢ | $15 |
| 573d | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $10 |
| 573d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BuyNo72¢ | $10 |
| 573d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes52¢ | $25 |
| 573d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | BuyNo64¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.