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Polymarket wallet 0x3e5d5497e450231e58e1afab803791636560a2e6 · on Polymarket since Jan 18, 2026 · also shown as Ideal-Fireplace
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 136 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $124 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 63 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 77 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 54 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 42 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.5% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.