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Polymarket wallet 0x3ea6952c397925003120ad327ee403f31a16db81 · on Polymarket since Nov 26, 2024 · also shown as Adventurous-Accord
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$17 +1150% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 53 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 285d | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 285d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.