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Polymarket wallet 0x414af40477432077ab50d04800fa2e2c4710e49b · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Clueless-Machine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 986 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,298 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36,680 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,418 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.