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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 13 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | change-world | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,336 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 255d | tsekinming01 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $39,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 255d | cripes311 fills | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $72,927 | −$73 −0.1% | — |
| 255d |  MajoriT | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,491 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  scout2 fills | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  MoMBonds | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,665 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  -Dominus- | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,845 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | MarcoGPT2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $931,704 | +$933 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | 0x21bf…6b4443 fills | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $46,989 | −$94 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | 0x21bf…6b4446 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $50,295 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  Froginsider | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,121 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 256d |  ThePortrait | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  PrincessGlinda | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  Tigerofthehood | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $67,240 | +$67 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | wubddh2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  JJo | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | Kayn2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,352 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | cripes38 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $97,375 | +$102 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | 0xf53c…25f5 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,912 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 256d |  classified | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,658 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | 0xf53c…25f5 | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,923 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  godpls | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,911 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  funkc | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,666 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | SZ777 | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,328 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  Cungly2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d |  zb82 fills | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $35,749 | −$59 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | dube7 fills | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $43,981 | −$88 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | 0x0a70…5333 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,230 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | lfg3212 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $485,787 | +$623 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | admiss | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $63,761 | −$128 −0.2% | — |
| 256d | howdoiusethisshit | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,265 | +$39 +0.2% | 4 |
| 256d | wiq | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $99,800 | −$200 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | Each-Bench | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,339 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | tsekinming014 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,604 | +$71 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | -Dominus-2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,690 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d |  takemymoney2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,605 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | Elias.Thornwell | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,741 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | il1 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 257d |  nightowlnine | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,708 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | nonkenny90 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,476 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 257d |  lub0sh | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | 0330330333 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $218,547 | +$219 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d |  Ahpo | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,653 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 257d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $95,458 | −$96 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | Meso- | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $326,198 | +$327 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | trashtier | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,015 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | change-world | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,336 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d |  bamesjond2 fills | February 6 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,755 | −$226 −3.9% | — |
| 257d | slight- | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,332 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | lnarix | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,507 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | xiaoshibalang | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | puparia | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,776 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | Froginsider | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,124 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | February 6 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $12,530 | +$1,207 +9.6% | 5 |
| 258d | Voron | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,594 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d |  dotethguy | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,146 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | il12 fills | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d |  twe2nty | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | 12edhuwadf | February 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 258d |  Nobo | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,267 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 6 means the market gives it about 100%.