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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 39,306 | 29¢ → 21¢ | $8,058 | −$3,177 −28% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,244 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $218 | −$81 −27% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.