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Polymarket wallet 0x44c64e5eb14c18d7c93bf4686b68e68c84e9d67e · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2025 · also shown as Welcome-Train
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$4 +1.3% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$592 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Solana above $145 on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.