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Polymarket wallet 0x45684e57bd894818f0e1978f3e7b263a24791c92 · on Polymarket since Feb 10, 2026 · also shown as Gray-Tick
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1? | BuyYes11¢ | $25 |
| 220d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $30 |
| 221d | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BuyYes9¢ | $40 |
| 221d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ | $40 |
| 224d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyYes4¢ | $15 |
| 224d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo63¢ | $60 |
| 224d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
| 224d | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes50¢ | $30 |
| 224d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo81¢ | $20 |
| 224d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyNo84¢ | $25 |
| 224d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | SellYes3¢ | $11 |
| 224d | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes2¢ | $38 |
| 228d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $40 |
| 229d | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1? | BuyYes17¢ | $45 |
| 234d | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes2¢ | $40 |
| 235d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyYes12¢ | $40 |
| 235d | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? | BuyYes8¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.