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Polymarket wallet 0x458ed4a9b327664e20c54740169e9c69119d1b2c · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026 · also shown as Submissive-Criticism
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.5% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SellYes22¢ | $32 |
| 280d | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 280d | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo96¢ | $26 |
| 288d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyNo87¢ | $10 |
| 288d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08? | SellYes61¢ | $5 |
| 288d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08? | SellYes61¢ | $5 |
| 289d | Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January? | BuyNo93¢ | $9 |
| 289d | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $10 |
| 289d | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BuyNo82¢ | $10 |
| 289d | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $10 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ | $10 |
| 290d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08? | BuyYes63¢ | $10 |
| 291d | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo74¢ | $20 |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo91¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.