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Polymarket wallet 0x476870516f233e10ef2392993094d43ab02834a7 · on Polymarket since Oct 28, 2025 · also shown as Shameless-Armchair
football fun
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 32 | 47¢ → 22¢ | $7 | −$8 −54% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$2 +43% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 48 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.