Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x4af779c80a2da30183116bd9b1b0a54dd1044a71 · on Polymarket since Mar 21, 2025 · also shown as Cautious-Haircut
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 377d | Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? | BuyYes48¢ | $1 |
| 479d | Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | BuyNo69¢ | $3 |
| 508d | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? | BuyNo81¢ | $2 |
| 508d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyNo82¢ | $1 |
| 508d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BuyNo77¢ | $3 |
| 508d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes6¢ | $2 |
| 522d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | SellNo66¢ | $3 |
| 540d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 542d | Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? | SellNo65¢ | $2 |
| 570d | Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? | BuyNo78¢ | $2 |
| 570d | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ | $3 |
| 570d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | BuyNo66¢ | $3 |
| 570d | Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? | BuyNo71¢ | $3 |
| 570d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo73¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.