Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d |  Zykoer2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,906 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 480d |  Plant2tri | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 480d | JPLP | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 480d | Abkhaz333 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,606 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 480d |  EA82 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,035 | −$115 −1.1% | — |
| 480d |  BuckMySalls3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,618 | +$904 +6.6% | 20 |
| 480d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d | Folletin | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 480d | nicdan | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,954 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 480d |  Funfzig4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,883 | +$94 +1.2% | 20 |
| 480d |  marianor | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d | cuiknd | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,303 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d | cqs3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $37,259 | −$1,831 −4.9% | — |
| 481d | OddsOverlord | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo100¢ | $4,287 | −$22 −0.5% | — |
| 481d |  LevonS | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,172 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 481d |  StingerFour2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,603 | +$167 +4.6% | 20 |
| 481d | nicdan | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,951 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 481d |  randomWalkingShrimp | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,596 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 481d |  bizarroworld2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$69 +1.4% | 20 |
| 482d |  ParaNormal | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 482d | JoeBlack01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 483d | Zykoer3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,124 | +$62 +1.5% | 20 |
| 483d |  Mr-Krabs7 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,097 | −$264 −2.4% | — |
| 483d | aviato | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 483d | ddy3python | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,634 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 483d | gorovi | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,135 | −$95 −0.6% | — |
| 483d | poligott | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,671 | −$54 −0.7% | — |
| 484d | CanadianGoose | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 484d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,628 | +$38 +1.0% | 20 |
| 484d | miroslav.rehor | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 484d | Andrycuk | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$31 +0.8% | 20 |
| 485d | AndrianoLamo | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 485d | funguy1988 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 486d | lowrisk242 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,423 | −$77 −2.2% | — |
| 487d | HanSolo2413 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $48,091 | −$1,219 −2.5% | — |
| 487d | OddsOverlord3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,917 | +$57 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d | vovatoxic2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,548 | −$107 −1.6% | — |
| 487d |  peasant7 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $114,688 | −$2,633 −2.3% | — |
| 487d |  TheFund | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | −$33 −1.1% | — |
| 487d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,909 | −$88 −1.1% | — |
| 487d | erzh2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,522 | −$338 −3.2% | — |
| 488d |  wowfarm | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$20 +1.2% | 20 |
| 488d | Dapper-Grandfather | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,394 | +$52 +1.5% | 20 |
| 488d | nonkenny903 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $51,056 | −$868 −1.7% | — |
| 488d | anegrea | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,294 | −$107 −1.7% | — |
| 489d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,847 | −$32 −1.7% | — |
| 489d |  DoneWithIt | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,124 | −$30 −1.4% | — |
| 489d |  Opium42 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,892 | +$108 +1.8% | 20 |
| 490d | Predictoooooor | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$124 +1.2% | 20 |
| 490d | Cryp2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$52 +1.7% | 20 |
| 490d | Belzevius4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,829 | +$396 +1.8% | 20 |
| 491d |  BFBB3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,881 | −$395 −8.1% | — |
| 491d |  FrancisSP82 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,027 | −$117 −1.9% | — |
| 491d | SUPERR | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$21 −2.1% | — |
| 491d | ParaNormal2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,173 | +$58 +1.8% | 20 |
| 491d | Velvety-Trapezoid | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,921 | −$41 −2.1% | — |
| 491d | Plant2tri | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,632 | +$51 +1.9% | 20 |
| 491d | AndrianoLamo | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$25 +2.0% | 20 |
| 492d |  Tenebrus72 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,613 | +$163 +2.5% | 20 |
| 492d | jsjr9 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $28,719 | −$2,377 −8.3% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
