notfrog

Polymarket wallet 0x4e0014b55d4f3ada5b3571c7a1b34a3818f432d3 · on Polymarket since Dec 5, 2024 · also shown as Great-Shack

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$114
Volume traded: $2.43K
All-time rank: #2,681,325
Markets traded: 16
Recent hit rate: 69%11 of last 16 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	464	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
New pandemic before July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	611	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$92 −100%

Latest trades

last 38

When	Market	Bet	Size
664d	New pandemic before July?	BuyYes15¢	$39
664d	Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?	SellYes76¢	$39
664d	New pandemic before July?	BuyYes15¢	$33
664d	Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?	SellYes76¢	$30
664d	100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?	BuyYes2¢	$10
664d	Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?	SellNo38¢	$13
664d	New pandemic before July?	BuyYes15¢	$19
673d	Will the Greens be part of the next German government?	BuyYes39¢	$10
673d	Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?	BuyYes55¢	$50
673d	Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	SellYes39¢	$13
673d	Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?	SellYes55¢	$16
675d	Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?	SellYes90¢	$21
679d	Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	SellNo53¢	$5
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	BuyYes62¢	$20
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?	BuyYes70¢	$20
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?	BuyYes84¢	$20
679d	TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?	SellNo70¢	$21
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?	SellNo56¢	$23
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	SellNo37¢	$11
679d	Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?	SellNo27¢	$12
680d	Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?	SellNo21¢	$15
681d	Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	SellYes1¢	$1
681d	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?	SellYes1¢	$0
681d	Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?	SellYes75¢	$1
681d	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?	BuyYes11¢	$3
681d	Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	BuyYes9¢	$10
681d	Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	SellYes82¢	$13
683d	Assad leaves Syria before 2025?	BuyNo13¢	$17
683d	Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?	BuyNo14¢	$10
683d	Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?	BuyNo23¢	$10
683d	Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	BuyNo34¢	$10
683d	Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?	BuyNo48¢	$20
683d	TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?	BuyNo66¢	$20
683d	Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	BuyNo52¢	$5
683d	Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?	BuyNo29¢	$10
683d	Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?	BuyYes63¢	$1
683d	Assad leaves Syria before 2025?	BuyNo12¢	$1
683d	Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	BuyYes62¢	$10

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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