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Polymarket wallet 0x4e239f8a8306c75868460a57bf394483e23fd084 · on Polymarket since May 22, 2026 · also shown as Deadly-Cofactor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 376 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$7 −39% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 451 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$8 −44% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 91 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$4 −32% |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 221 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 116 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 194 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$5 −51% |
| Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$3 −67% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 40 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.