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Polymarket wallet 0x53aab7c32a4b6aa1b559820f479a191818c1ef46 · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2025 · also shown as Calculating-Smell
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$21 +213% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$10 +96% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump attend NATO Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 487d | Israel strike on Iran on June 25? | BuyYes49¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | BuyYes90¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BuyNo44¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo7¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Will Trump attend NATO Summit? | BuyNo4¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo87¢ | $9 |
| 487d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | SellNo12¢ | $13 |
| 487d | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BuyNo51¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BuyNo18¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BuyNo19¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.