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Polymarket wallet 0x546ba6c9ce49abf1a02b3e1427ce760d9afec735 · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026 · also shown as Dishonest-Gaffe
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124d | Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? AND Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Buy5¢ | $4 |
| 126d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Buy12¢ | $2 |
| 126d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Buy34¢ | $5 |
| 126d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Buy14¢ | $2 |
| 126d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Buy38¢ | $5 |
| 126d | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Buy10¢ | $2 |
| 126d | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Buy13¢ | $2 |
| 126d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Buy57¢ | $15 |
| 126d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Buy15¢ | $5 |
| 127d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Buy5¢ | $5 |
| 127d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Buy11¢ | $2 |
| 127d | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Buy4¢ | $2 |
| 127d | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Buy33¢ | $10 |
| 205d | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 205d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 205d | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | SellYes3¢ | $3 |
| 205d | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 205d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 205d | Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 207d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 207d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 209d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 209d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 220d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $5 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $5 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $3 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $2 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February? | BuyYes52¢ | $5 |
| 261d | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 261d | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | BuyYes30¢ | $5 |
| 262d | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on February 4? | BuyNo2¢ | $5 |
| 262d | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on February 4? | BuyNo4¢ | $5 |
| 264d | Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 2? | BuyNo65¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyNo6¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.