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Polymarket wallet 0x54933ded87b4b9e4de8c25e034016cac5901b082 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$9 +133% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$5 +69% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BuyNo59¢ | $7 |
| 194d | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $7 |
| 213d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $8 |
| 216d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BuyDown19¢ | $1 |
| 228d | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo68¢ | $5 |
| 228d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyYes60¢ | $5 |
| 237d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael57¢ | $12 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BuyUp83¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | SellUp41¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BuyUp17¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.