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Polymarket · Politics
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iotova 10-20% | 60% | +2 pts | +51 pts | 58¢ · 61¢ (3¢) | $15.8K | in 1d |
| Iotova <10% | 24% | 0 pts | +19 pts | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | $10.1K | in 1d |
| Iotova 20-30% | 13% | −1 pts | −41 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | $9.93K | in 1d |
| Iotova 40%+ | 2% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $6.6K | in 1d |
| Iotova 30-40% | 1% | — | −4 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $5.44K | in 1d |
| Gyurov 20-30% | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $10.5K | in 1d |
| Gyurov 30%+ | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $14.4K | in 1d |
| Gyurov <10% | 1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $7.78K | in 1d |
| Gyurov 10-20% | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28m | SnowLover7 | Gyurov 20-30% | SellNo99¢ | $2,438 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12h |  archaic | Iotova 40%+ | SellNo98¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 13h | cmnd7w | Iotova 10-20% | SellNo35¢ → 41¢ | $1,051 | −$164 −16% | — |
| 13h | dbbbt4 fills | Iotova 10-20% | BuyYes48¢ → 60¢ | $7,743 | +$1,817 +23% | 33 |
| 19h |  tetrase5 fills | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo99¢ | $12,990 | −$10 −0.1% | 11 |
| 1d |  sciuboi | Iotova 10-20% | BuyYes64¢ → 60¢ | $5,000 | −$380 −7.6% | 35 |
| 1d | tetrase5 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $27,742 | +$837 +3.0% | 13 |
| 1d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed4 fills | Iotova 40%+ | SellNo90¢ → 98¢ | $6,142 | −$533 −8.7% | — |
| 1d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed5 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $8,703 | +$470 +5.4% | 15 |
| 1d | 1walrus2 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $6,486 | +$394 +6.1% | 15 |
| 1d |  Lolakis | Iotova 40%+ | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,251 | −$43 −3.5% | — |
| 1d | archaic2 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $3,670 | +$212 +5.8% | 15 |
| 2d |  Michael-The-Taxiarch10 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $41,244 | +$1,181 +2.9% | 13 |
| 2d | tetrase7 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $31,184 | +$721 +2.3% | 12 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $2,464 | −$98 −4.0% | — |
| 2d |  Jellow22 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $3,357 | +$299 +8.9% | 17 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed5 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $9,145 | +$404 +4.4% | 14 |
| 2d | SnowLover72 fills | Iotova 10-20% | BuyYes45¢ → 60¢ | $5,144 | +$1,716 +33% | 34 |
| 2d | donthackme2 fills | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,156 | +$10 +0.5% | 11 |
| 2d | donthackme2 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $2,216 | +$92 +4.2% | 14 |
| 2d | donthackme4 fills | Iotova 30-40% | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $4,315 | +$155 +3.6% | 13 |
| 2d | donthackme4 fills | Iotova <10% | BuyNo97¢ → 77¢ | $4,486 | −$934 −21% | 12 |
| 2d | donthackme3 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $3,310 | +$78 +2.4% | 12 |
| 2d |  seal7 | Iotova 10-20% | BuyYes47¢ → 60¢ | $1,002 | +$268 +27% | 17 |
| 2d | tetrase | Iotova 40%+ | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $3,772 | −$160 −4.2% | — |
| 2d |  themagicofcinema | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $3,894 | +$158 +4.0% | 14 |
| 2d | 1walrus2 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $4,496 | +$252 +5.6% | 15 |
| 3d | dbbbt | Iotova 20-30% | BuyYes41¢ → 13¢ | $1,295 | −$885 −68% | 23 |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 99¢ | $2,154 | +$149 +6.9% | 13 |
| 3d | donthackme | Gyurov <10% | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,056 | −$5 −0.5% | 10 |
| 3d | archaic | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $3,056 | +$55 +1.8% | 12 |
| 3d | archaic2 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $6,051 | +$311 +5.1% | 14 |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Gyurov 30%+ | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,083 | −$20 −1.8% | — |
| 3d |  0xdc3E831cad | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo99¢ | $1,712 | +$7 +0.4% | 11 |
| 3d |  smellyEllie | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,613 | +$158 +9.8% | 18 |
| 3d | 1walrus | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $2,023 | +$80 +3.9% | 12 |
| 3d | smellyEllie3 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo93¢ → 99¢ | $4,631 | +$283 +6.1% | 15 |
| 3d | Michael-The-Taxiarch | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $2,785 | +$124 +4.5% | 13 |
| 3d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,720 | +$81 +4.7% | 12 |
| 3d | smellyEllie | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $5,053 | +$156 +3.1% | 13 |
| 3d |  vinii2 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $3,281 | +$406 +12% | 18 |
| 4d | CryptoVagabond | Gyurov 30%+ | BuyYes10¢ → 1¢ | $2,000 | −$1,781 −89% | 28 |
| 4d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo91¢ → 99¢ | $3,629 | +$326 +9.0% | 17 |
| 4d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Iotova 40%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 98¢ | $1,024 | +$156 +15% | 17 |
| 4d | CryptoVagabond2 fills | Iotova 40%+ | BuyYes15¢ → 2¢ | $2,000 | −$1,774 −89% | 37 |
| 4d | CryptoVagabond3 fills | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyYes13¢ → 1¢ | $3,000 | −$2,763 −92% | 40 |
| 4d |  XueqinJiang | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo92¢ → 99¢ | $1,508 | +$105 +7.0% | 13 |
| 4d | conherence | Gyurov 20-30% | BuyNo92¢ → 99¢ | $1,897 | +$137 +7.2% | 14 |
sciuboi7,764 shares0xdc3E831cad1,738 sharesseal7801 shares
Haradwaith740 shares
Dr.PNL344 sharesThe first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 60¢ for Iotova 10-20% means the market gives it about 60%.