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Polymarket wallet 0x5bf4f1edeaefc9bcf5838d52f66144acbc390ca2 · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Defenseless-Creature
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BuyUp94¢ | $1 |
| 46d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $2 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BuyUp73¢ | $1 |
| 87d | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 90d | NATO article 5 before 2027? | SellNo91¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SellNo76¢ | $1 |
| 113d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyNo78¢ | $1 |
| 141d | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 201d | Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $9 |
| 201d | Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 234d | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellNo99¢ | $29 |
| 234d | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo99¢ | $29 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.