| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 409 | 57¢ → 47¢ | $192 | −$41 −18% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 3d | Yes | 380 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $123 | −$18 −13% |
| Will Cashmere launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | No | 331 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $119 | −$20 −14% |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 253d | No | 148 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $108 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 144 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $90 | −$4 −3.8% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 35d | No | 160 | 76¢ → 55¢ | $87 | −$34 −28% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 15d | No | 160 | 75¢ → 53¢ | $85 | −$35 −29% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 347 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $80 | −$17 −18% |
| Will "Saba" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | Yes | 347 | 28¢ → 19¢ | $64 | −$33 −34% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 106 | 70¢ → 45¢ | $48 | −$26 −36% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 22d | No | 200 | 65¢ → 20¢ | $40 | −$90 −69% |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 7d | No | 316 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $40 | −$27 −40% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 37d | No | 80 | 72¢ → 49¢ | $39 | −$19 −33% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 86 | 51¢ → 43¢ | $37 | −$7 −16% |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Ends in 9d | No | 49 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $30 | −$3 −9.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 107 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $28 | −$9 −24% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 15d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.6% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 38 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $27 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 178d | Yes | 214 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $27 | −$7 −22% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 32 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 15d | No | 74 | 74¢ → 34¢ | $25 | −$30 −54% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 45 | 71¢ → 49¢ | $22 | −$10 −31% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 438d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 22¢ | $22 | −$33 −60% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 254d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 53¢ | $19 | −$11 −36% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 163d | No | 80 | 59¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$28 −60% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 73d | No | 100 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 346d | Yes | 50 | 54¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$9 −35% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 23d | Yes | 61 | 52¢ → 26¢ | $16 | −$16 −50% |
| Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?Ends in 29d | No | 40 | 56¢ → 36¢ | $14 | −$8 −36% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 34¢ | $13 | −$15 −53% |
| Will Liquipedia Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?Ends in 56d | No | 30 | 68¢ → 44¢ | $13 | −$7 −35% |
| Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 40 | 64¢ → 33¢ | $13 | −$12 −48% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 20 | 86¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$4 −24% |
| Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 99 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$24 −65% |
| Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 68¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$14 −53% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 83¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$4 −23% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Ends in 15d | Yes | 40 | 48¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$7 −35% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 40 | 61¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$12 −50% |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 80d | No | 35 | 84¢ → 35¢ | $12 | −$17 −59% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will the Calgary Flames record 80+ points?Ends in 192d | Yes | 80 | 44¢ → 15¢ | $12 | −$23 −66% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Auston Matthews record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 192d | Yes | 20 | 79¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$5 −28% |
| Will Linus Ullmark record 4+ shutouts?Ends in 192d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$7 −39% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 53¢ | $11 | −$6 −34% |
| Will John Gibson record 4+ shutouts?Ends in 192d | Yes | 20 | 79¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$6 −36% |
| Will James Cook be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 99d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$8 −44% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Ends in 15d | Yes | 40 | 41¢ → 25¢ | $10 | −$6 −39% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?Ends in 6d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$3 −21% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 72¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$5 −33% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 438d | Yes | 145 | 41¢ → 7¢ | $10 | −$50 −84% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 43¢ | $9 | −$6 −41% |
| Will Backrooms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 43¢ | $9 | −$6 −42% |
| Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?Ends in 162d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Will Hungary be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?Ends in 176d | No | 21 | 88¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$11 −57% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$6 −42% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 80 | 33¢ → 10¢ | $8 | −$18 −70% |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?Ends in 25d | Yes | 59 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will Jesper Wallstedt record 4+ shutouts?Ends in 192d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$11 −57% |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 39¢ | $8 | −$5 −39% |
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B?Ends in 1d | No | 40 | 44¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$10 −59% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$6 −45% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$5 −41% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 34d | No | 12 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Benfica finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?Ends in 131d | Yes | 40 | 46¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$11 −62% |
| Will Braga finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 103d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$11 −60% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 145d | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$5 −43% |
| Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 46¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$12 −63% |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 32% to 36%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$5 −40% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$9 −57% |
| Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$6 −49% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 total revenue per available seat mile 20¢ to 20.5¢?Ends in 7h | No | 20 | 54¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$5 −42% |
| Will 5star eSports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 85d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$8 −55% |
| Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Ends in 132d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$2 −22% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$11 −65% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 42d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$8 −58% |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 111 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$4 −41% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 104d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$9 −61% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of October 19 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 27¢ | $5 | −$8 −59% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 40 | 39¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$10 −65% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$4 −45% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$5 −51% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 22 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$27 −84% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 34d | Yes | 12 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$4 −46% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 238d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$6 −56% |
| Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.3B?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$7 −60% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?Ends in 230d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$8 −61% |
| Will Cale Makar record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 192d | Yes | 11 | 64¢ → 42¢ | $5 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Ends in 43d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$6 −57% |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?Ends in 254d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I?Ends in 162d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$7 −62% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$3 −43% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 145d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$13 −76% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$4 −52% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20 | 41¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will Gilberto Mora play for Real Madrid next?Ends in 105d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$2 −36% |
