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Polymarket wallet 0x6ad8dbb08ea2203f61fd81a27439628e6c45637b · on Polymarket since Jun 1, 2026 · also shown as Ordinary-Hire-Mover
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 35,163 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $3,340 | +$97 +3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 47¢ | $1 | −$0 −49% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 794 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.