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Polymarket wallet 0x707515623b85278658a5f1e172c481e82d2dfd3e · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Strong-Shortwave
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win Clark county?Settled - ready to redeem | Trump | 113 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Vermin Supreme get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Who will win women?Settled - ready to redeem | Trump | 86 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump wins a solid blue state?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes15¢ | $27 |
| 717d | Who will win Clark county? | BuyTrump15¢ | $17 |
| 717d | Will Trump win 5 swing states? | BuyYes23¢ | $5 |
| 717d | Will Trump win 6 swing states? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 717d | Will Vermin Supreme get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 717d | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | BuyNo15¢ | $10 |
| 717d | Who will win women? | BuyTrump6¢ | $5 |
| 717d | Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 717d | Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? | BuyYes67¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.