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Polymarket wallet 0x7d0d2e304ffe9444c754844a600848f6a08b1dc7 · on Polymarket since Dec 15, 2024 · also shown as Thorny-Marmalade
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Derek Cianfrance win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Ends in 10d | Yes | 4 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| James Comey in jail in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.