| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 45 | 33¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$29 +194% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 68 | 32¢ → 64¢ | $43 | +$21 +98% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 55 | 29¢ → 61¢ | $33 | +$17 +109% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 51 | 35¢ → 61¢ | $31 | +$13 +74% |
| SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 39 | 38¢ → 74¢ | $29 | +$14 +95% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 43 | 30¢ → 67¢ | $29 | +$16 +120% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 51 | 29¢ → 55¢ | $28 | +$13 +87% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 54 | 33¢ → 51¢ | $27 | +$9 +52% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B?Ends in 4d | Yes | 39 | 38¢ → 70¢ | $27 | +$12 +83% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 80 | 22¢ → 34¢ | $27 | +$9 +52% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 27 | 28¢ → >99¢ | $26 | +$19 +252% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Ends in 39d | Yes | 58 | 26¢ → 45¢ | $26 | +$11 +73% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 30 | 48¢ → 86¢ | $26 | +$11 +78% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 34 | 47¢ → 75¢ | $25 | +$9 +59% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 41¢ | $25 | +$10 +64% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 38¢ → 69¢ | $24 | +$11 +79% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 30 | 63¢ → 81¢ | $24 | +$5 +28% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 39¢ | $23 | +$8 +54% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 67 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Ends in 6d | No | 24 | 55¢ → 92¢ | $22 | +$9 +67% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 22 | 38¢ → 93¢ | $21 | +$12 +143% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 21 | 38¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$11 +143% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 58 | 26¢ → 32¢ | $18 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 75 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $18 | +$4 +24% |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Ends in 47d | Yes | 30 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $18 | +$2 +16% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 31d | No | 28 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $18 | +$2 +13% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $17 | +$2 +16% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?Ends in 10d | No | 45 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 59¢ → 95¢ | $16 | +$6 +61% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 17 | 26¢ → 93¢ | $16 | +$11 +258% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 43 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 25 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 34 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 52 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $15 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Ends in 11d | No | 24 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 41¢ | $14 | +$9 +173% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 18¢ → 25¢ | $14 | +$4 +36% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 68¢ | $13 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 1% and 3%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 75 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $13 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $57B?Ends in 4d | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $13 | −$2 −15% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 40 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 44 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $12 | −$5 −29% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 5% to 7%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 35 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 47 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 44 | 34¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 45 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 43 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$3 −23% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 31 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 15d | Yes | 31 | 48¢ → 32¢ | $10 | −$5 −33% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Ends in 10d | Yes | 35 | 40¢ → 23¢ | $8 | −$6 −42% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$2 −20% |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?Ends in 26d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$4 +97% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 40 | 10¢ → 19¢ | $8 | +$4 +88% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 23 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 35 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $7 | −$5 −41% |
| Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 77 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$8 −55% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 56 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 55 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$13 −68% |
| Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$9 −62% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $5 | −$3 −37% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 26 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$3 −39% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 37¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$6 −57% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 29¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$13 −72% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | No | 14 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 79 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$11 −72% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 201 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 120 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$12 −80% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$3 −48% |
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be less than $9B at market close on IPO day?Ends ended | Yes | 140 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$11 −79% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 58 | 26¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$12 −81% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Ends in 20d | Yes | 92 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$15 −87% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 70 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$13 −87% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 65 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$12 −88% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 27¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$14 −91% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 113 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$13 −93% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 26 | 58¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$14 −94% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 26 | 51¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$12 −94% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 17 | 54¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$8 −92% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 26 | 50¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$12 −95% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$7 −92% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 95 | 21¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$20 −98% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 90 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$15 −97% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$8 −96% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 43 | 23¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$10 −97% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 52 | 38¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$20 −99% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 65 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$15 −99% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 31 | 42¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
