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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100k+ | 33% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | — | in 14d |
| 0 to 25k | 22% | −5 pts | +7 pts | 20¢ · 23¢ (3¢) | — | in 14d |
| 75k to 100k | 16% | +3 pts | −6 pts | 13¢ · 18¢ (5¢) | $11.8 | in 14d |
| 25k to 50k | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 14d |
| 50k to 75k | 13% | −5 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | — | in 14d |
| -25k to 0 | 5% | — | — | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 14d |
| <-25k | 4% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 14d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 33¢ for 100k+ means the market gives it about 33%.