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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson (D) | 66% | −2 pts | +7 pts | 65¢ · 67¢ (2¢) | $8.49K | in 11d |
| Susan Collins (R) | 35% | +2 pts | −7 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $17.2K | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  DirkDiggler67 | Troy Jackson (D) | SellNo34¢ | $2,934 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 1d | hhhh112233 | Susan Collins (R) | SellYes32¢ → 35¢ | $1,062 | −$85 −8.1% | — |
| 1d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes69¢ → 66¢ | $2,740 | −$100 −3.6% | 30 |
| 1d |  peasant2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo62¢ → 66¢ | $12,241 | +$688 +5.6% | 30 |
| 2d |  Mr.Kirk | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes35¢ | $1,750 | −$25 −1.4% | 20 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo62¢ → 66¢ | $2,359 | +$139 +5.9% | 21 |
| 2d |  DickTurbin | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes35¢ | $2,471 | −$35 −1.4% | 24 |
| 2d | DickTurbin | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo35¢ → 34¢ | $2,182 | −$62 −2.9% | 32 |
| 2d |  LiquidatedDegen2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes39¢ → 35¢ | $3,295 | −$392 −12% | 28 |
| 2d |  seal7 | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo65¢ → 66¢ | $3,501 | +$27 +0.8% | 26 |
| 3d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac85 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo68¢ → 66¢ | $28,246 | −$894 −3.2% | 30 |
| 3d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes61¢ → 66¢ | $8,242 | +$668 +8.1% | 30 |
| 3d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo37¢ → 34¢ | $1,110 | −$90 −8.1% | 21 |
| 3d | cocococococo | Susan Collins (R) | SellNo63¢ → 66¢ | $2,519 | −$100 −4.0% | — |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | SellNo64¢ → 66¢ | $2,575 | −$40 −1.6% | — |
| 4d | moneymakingmachine | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo63¢ → 66¢ | $1,969 | +$78 +4.0% | 19 |
| 4d | DirkDiggler67 | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo60¢ → 66¢ | $2,968 | +$272 +9.2% | 24 |
| 4d | deuxgaules | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes61¢ → 66¢ | $1,041 | +$85 +8.2% | 20 |
| 6d | sunsanity | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes41¢ → 35¢ | $1,661 | −$263 −16% | 19 |
| 6d | WarriorH3 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo67¢ → 66¢ | $3,810 | −$61 −1.6% | 28 |
| 8d | rancidpus | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo41¢ → 34¢ | $2,500 | −$427 −17% | 32 |
| 9d | purplegatto2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo41¢ → 34¢ | $5,351 | −$914 −17% | 33 |
| 9d |  Krang5 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes42¢ → 35¢ | $17,610 | −$3,019 −17% | 35 |
| 11d | l3t0 | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes59¢ → 66¢ | $3,397 | +$403 +12% | 30 |
| 12d | Reavel | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes42¢ → 35¢ | $1,050 | −$188 −18% | 15 |
| 13d | l3t0 | Susan Collins (R) | SellYes40¢ → 35¢ | $3,069 | +$452 +15% | — |
| 14d |  Warren-Buffett | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes59¢ → 66¢ | $2,950 | +$350 +12% | 30 |
| 14d |  mackiah2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes58¢ → 66¢ | $4,099 | +$565 +14% | 30 |
| 15d |  SheepToken | Susan Collins (R) | SellYes43¢ → 35¢ | $1,290 | +$255 +20% | — |
| 15d | bnbaltz | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes58¢ → 66¢ | $2,000 | +$276 +14% | 29 |
| 17d | Krang | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo42¢ → 34¢ | $2,500 | −$486 −19% | 31 |
| 17d | Zhangyuyang | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes58¢ → 66¢ | $1,134 | −$156 −14% | — |
| 17d | mini-man | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes59¢ → 66¢ | $4,885 | +$580 +12% | 30 |
| 18d | equalsignificance | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo58¢ → 66¢ | $1,388 | +$179 +13% | 16 |
| 22d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo61¢ → 66¢ | $4,109 | +$337 +8.2% | 29 |
| 23d | ash3erman | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes58¢ → 66¢ | $1,249 | −$172 −14% | — |
| 26d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes37¢ → 35¢ | $6,695 | −$452 −6.8% | 35 |
| 26d | 111223 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo33¢ → 34¢ | $5,795 | +$112 +1.9% | 36 |
| 27d | OneLastHurrah | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes65¢ → 66¢ | $1,276 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 27d |  Specksalam | Troy Jackson (D) | SellNo34¢ | $1,020 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 28d | Meager-Effacement | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo67¢ → 66¢ | $1,407 | −$31 −2.2% | 17 |
| 28d |  pmtosat- | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo33¢ → 34¢ | $2,525 | +$77 +3.0% | 33 |
| 28d | Insider2024 | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes33¢ → 35¢ | $2,528 | +$90 +3.6% | 25 |
| 28d | banspcltvecnmy2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes63¢ → 66¢ | $3,945 | −$165 −4.2% | — |
| 28d |  Outsid3rTrading | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo31¢ → 34¢ | $2,270 | +$220 +9.7% | 33 |
| 28d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo30¢ → 34¢ | $2,900 | +$417 +14% | 34 |
| 28d | macrosteaks | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes31¢ → 35¢ | $3,242 | +$366 +11% | 29 |
| 29d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Susan Collins (R) | BuyNo68¢ → 66¢ | $3,010 | −$111 −3.7% | 24 |
| 29d |  G.Hchen | Susan Collins (R) | SellNo67¢ → 66¢ | $1,206 | +$27 +2.2% | — |
| 29d | pantomime2 fills | Troy Jackson (D) | SellNo34¢ | $7,575 | +$104 +1.4% | — |
| 29d | WarriorH | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyYes66¢ | $1,331 | $0 0.0% | 23 |
| 29d |  bernardbulletin | Susan Collins (R) | SellNo65¢ → 66¢ | $3,198 | −$25 −0.8% | — |
| 29d |  BiDiFakePolls | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes66¢ | $2,640 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 29d | lomneivan2 fills | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes32¢ → 35¢ | $25,700 | +$1,720 +6.7% | 41 |
| 29d | lomneivan | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo34¢ | $5,641 | +$0 +0.0% | 35 |
| 29d | Bigggggggg | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo31¢ → 34¢ | $2,784 | +$297 +11% | 34 |
| 29d | pantomime | Susan Collins (R) | BuyYes28¢ → 35¢ | $16,245 | +$3,815 +23% | 42 |
| 29d | pantomime | Troy Jackson (D) | BuyNo28¢ → 34¢ | $17,382 | +$3,782 +22% | 42 |
| 30d | DueDiligenceDan | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes72¢ → 66¢ | $1,010 | +$84 +8.3% | — |
| 30d | anoin123 | Troy Jackson (D) | SellYes73¢ → 66¢ | $7,660 | +$735 +9.6% | — |
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN20,000 shares
WordleAddict16,571 shares
Arbguy17,790 sharesmacrosteaks15,000 shares
LeopoldArschenbrenner14,102 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 66¢ for Troy Jackson (D) means the market gives it about 66%.