| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20,850 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $15,387 | +$1,847 +14% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10,000 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $8,075 | +$1,675 +26% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 8,987 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $6,785 | −$1,096 −14% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 5,652 | 61¢ → 92¢ | $5,172 | +$1,731 +50% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,000 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $4,325 | +$1,125 +35% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 10,298 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $4,068 | +$138 +3.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,148 | 73¢ → 91¢ | $3,789 | +$762 +25% |
| Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Ends ended | Yes | 1,514 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1,500 | +$172 +13% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 1,593 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,456 | +$67 +4.9% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 1,327 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $1,254 | +$239 +24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 1,101 | 60¢ → 96¢ | $1,059 | +$399 +60% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $988 | +$18 +1.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $985 | +$25 +2.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 1,305 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $947 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,130 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $924 | +$38 +4.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,000 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $675 | −$725 −52% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 8d | No | 859 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $649 | −$107 −14% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 500 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 1,647 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $478 | −$33 −6.5% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Ends ended | No | 486 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $456 | +$69 +18% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 2,266 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $419 | +$24 +6.2% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Ends ended | Yes | 396 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $370 | +$85 +30% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 299 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $286 | −$7 −2.5% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?Ends in 9h | No | 278 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $277 | +$11 +4.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 363 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $274 | +$13 +5.1% |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 286 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $244 | +$15 +6.6% |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 199 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $198 | +$7 +3.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $190 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 200 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $172 | −$4 −2.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 200 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $168 | +$4 +2.4% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Ends ended | No | 156 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $147 | +$29 +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 200 | 63¢ → 71¢ | $142 | +$16 +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 179 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $137 | −$17 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $135 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 136 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $134 | +$8 +6.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 151 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $130 | +$10 +8.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 143 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $120 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 145 | 87¢ → 75¢ | $109 | −$18 −14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 113 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $108 | +$8 +8.2% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 110 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $107 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$8 +8.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$6 +6.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$9 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 121 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $93 | −$5 −5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$5 +5.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$6 +6.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$9 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$12 +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $84 | −$3 −3.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 95 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $81 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 81 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $81 | +$7 +9.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $80 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $78 | +$4 +5.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$5 +7.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$4 +5.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $70 | −$4 −4.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $70 | +$4 +5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 77¢ → 69¢ | $69 | −$8 −10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $68 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $67 | +$12 +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $66 | −$7 −9.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $65 | +$4 +6.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $65 | +$5 +8.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 200 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $62 | +$4 +6.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 87¢ → 62¢ | $62 | −$26 −29% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Ends ended | Yes | 65 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $61 | +$27 +78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 61¢ | $61 | +$4 +6.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $59 | −$4 −6.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 93 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $58 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 120 | 54¢ → 49¢ | $58 | −$6 −9.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 81 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $58 | +$3 +5.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $57 | −$6 −9.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $56 | +$9 +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $56 | −$10 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $56 | −$5 −7.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $55 | −$2 −2.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | Yes | 140 | 33¢ → 39¢ | $54 | +$9 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 71¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$17 −24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$9 −14% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 73 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $52 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $52 | −$2 −3.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 100 | 55¢ → 52¢ | $52 | −$4 −6.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 51¢ → 52¢ | $52 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 52¢ | $52 | +$9 +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$32 +186% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$13 +35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$8 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$10 +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$4 +8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 52¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$24 +92% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$4 +9.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 50 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$11 +30% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 19?Ends in 9h | No | 50 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$2 +4.1% |
