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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | 31% | +2 pts | −2 pts | 30¢ · 32¢ (2¢) | $3.3K | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h | BunCaCham | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,767 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 9d |  classified2 fills | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | +$148 +3.2% | 22 |
| 12d | ZhouCD | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 12d | whig | No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | SellNo69¢ | $2,055 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 12d |  Protrade2 | No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | SellYes31¢ | $2,489 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 12d | Protrade2 | No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | BuyYes33¢ → 31¢ | $2,640 | −$132 −5.0% | 43 |
| 12d | whig | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$49 −4.1% | — |
| 12d |  chessplayer | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$39 −3.8% | — |
balthazar2,367 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly665 shares
bigdihhh88857 shares
Car374 shares
ScottyNooo278 shares
tandjlover30 sharesSee market rules.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 31¢ for No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate means the market gives it about 31%.