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Polymarket wallet 0x834dc129edb4c19ba03e2b29619f3636e8c089fd · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2024 · also shown as Long-Term-Shoehorn
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $39 | +$19 +96% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,219 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 352d | Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | BuyYes51¢ | $20 |
| 355d | Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $20 |
| 355d | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BuyYes82¢ | $82 |
| 369d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BuyNo22¢ | $44 |
| 369d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SellNo22¢ | $30 |
| 375d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $39 |
| 375d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BuyNo29¢ | $39 |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BuyUp98¢ | $54 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.