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Polymarket wallet 0x8620c25c6cc6763ca60eb54cbaf1d1a9f380f6f0 · on Polymarket since Sep 1, 2024 · also shown as Breakable-Mangrove
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Kraken IPO in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Annual inflation under 3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 782d | Will Kraken IPO in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ | $0 |
| 782d | US adds less than 100k jobs in August? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Fed emergency rate cut in 2024? | BuyYes10¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30? | BuyNo17¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Annual inflation under 3% in August? | BuyNo2¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | BuyYes42¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes9¢ | $0 |
| 782d | Annual inflation above 2.5% in August? | BuyYes39¢ | $3 |
| 782d | Will Brazil unban X before October? | BuyYes38¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.