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Polymarket wallet 0x863aee31e4b2c84f2ecc7efe85ccafefc3597b44 · on Polymarket since Sep 7, 2024 · also shown as Fat-Innocent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Israel" at debate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate? | BuyYes58¢ | $1 |
| 773d | Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate? | SellYes21¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes71¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Kamala positive favorability by Sunday? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Will Trump say "Israel" at debate? | BuyYes92¢ | $1 |
| 776d | Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate? | BuyYes53¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.