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Polymarket wallet 0x86407194a7ee915b8a1baae34a517c65956e2eb4 · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2024 · also shown as Reliable-Driver
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 590d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ | $3 |
| 590d | Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 658d | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $2 |
| 658d | Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025? | BuyYes70¢ | $5 |
| 668d | Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 668d | U.S. Recession in 2024? | BuyYes1¢ | $0 |
| 668d | Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10 |
| 668d | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes99¢ | $15 |
| 668d | GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 668d | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June? | BuyNo98¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.