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Polymarket wallet 0x86f430b1ae71f57c702fc6ba7472a031a43a5845 · on Polymarket since Aug 20, 2026 · also shown as Simplistic-Invasion-Throne
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 319 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $43 | −$29 −40% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 224 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $13 | −$17 −57% |
| Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 24 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 43 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.