| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 11,137 | 49¢ → 58¢ | $6,459 | +$999 +18% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5,855 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $5,059 | +$898 +22% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 3,600 | 53¢ → 96¢ | $3,452 | +$1,561 +82% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,543 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $1,081 | −$166 −13% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,541 | 15¢ → 36¢ | $902 | +$523 +138% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,225 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $827 | +$205 +33% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,122 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $794 | −$934 −54% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,453 | 57¢ → 55¢ | $792 | −$37 −4.4% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,455 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $777 | +$178 +30% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4,505 | 10¢ → 16¢ | $714 | +$268 +60% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,103 | 11¢ → 63¢ | $696 | +$575 +473% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6,605 | 25¢ → 11¢ | $693 | −$938 −57% |
| OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 650 | 26¢ → 84¢ | $546 | +$378 +224% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,194 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $538 | −$29 −5.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,140 | 48¢ → 21¢ | $441 | −$586 −57% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,857 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $409 | −$119 −23% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 554 | 22¢ → 69¢ | $384 | +$264 +220% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 374 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $334 | +$69 +26% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,378 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $333 | −$102 −24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 416 | 30¢ → 78¢ | $323 | +$199 +159% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,403 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $286 | −$571 −67% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,797 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $249 | −$952 −79% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | Yes | 1,010 | 32¢ → 21¢ | $213 | −$105 −33% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 900 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $203 | −$41 −17% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | No | 2,068 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $195 | −$130 −40% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 876 | 34¢ → 22¢ | $188 | −$113 −38% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 256 | 53¢ → 73¢ | $186 | +$50 +36% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | No | 417 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $173 | +$6 +3.9% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 888 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $169 | −$49 −22% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 721 | 56¢ → 21¢ | $151 | −$252 −62% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 154 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $150 | +$26 +20% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 424 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $121 | −$25 −17% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 32¢ → 40¢ | $120 | +$23 +23% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 711 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $111 | −$2 −1.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,234 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $110 | −$43 −28% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 173 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $109 | −$18 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 378 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $104 | −$28 −21% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 107 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$31 +42% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 273 | 47¢ → 38¢ | $102 | −$25 −20% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 13,484 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $88 | +$33 +61% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 814 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $81 | +$23 +39% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,250 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $72 | −$461 −86% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 668 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $70 | +$13 +22% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 1,954 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $65 | −$107 −62% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 976 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $65 | −$104 −62% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,446 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $60 | −$246 −80% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,375 | 26¢ → 2¢ | $58 | −$551 −90% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,168 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $52 | −$403 −89% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 9,205 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $51 | −$88 −64% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 229 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,136 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $45 | −$316 −87% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $44 | −$9 −17% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 404 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $23 | +$13 +134% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 374 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $22 | −$7 −25% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 85 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $20 | −$6 −23% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 234 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $19 | −$11 −36% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 17 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $16 | +$4 +34% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,809 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$116 −89% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 8,494 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $13 | −$7 −35% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 447 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$9 −42% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,500 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$203 −97% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 905 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$69 −94% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 434d | Yes | 11 | 53¢ → 24¢ | $3 | −$3 −55% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 102 | 15¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$14 −93% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 21 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 440 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 204 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 338 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,733 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$720 −100% |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 304 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 234 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,054 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$263 −100% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 863 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 276 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,897 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$398 −100% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34,361 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,064 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 490 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 723 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
