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Polymarket wallet 0x8781f7331c3694098c3e9cd3c56c2df7548119c0 · on Polymarket since Sep 24, 2026 · also shown as Lawful-Decrease
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 421 | 57¢ → 82¢ | $343 | +$103 +43% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 346 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $251 | +$16 +6.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 467 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $245 | +$30 +14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 373 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $243 | +$26 +12% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 52d | Yes | 270 | 60¢ → 74¢ | $198 | +$35 +22% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 211 | 64¢ → 76¢ | $159 | +$24 +18% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 356 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 265 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.