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Polymarket wallet 0x8a98712fb0cbc04c38193492ae8cd0f41afd2619 · on Polymarket since Jul 21, 2026 · also shown as Shallow-Thyme-Rally
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50,525 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $2,526 | −$551 −18% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 48,922 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $2,201 | −$1,426 −39% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18,333 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $917 | −$477 −34% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17,056 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $333 | −$842 −72% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.