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Polymarket wallet 0x8b5cb034338810316ea455069d36296bbc15097b · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2026 · also shown as Wilted-Litter
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 37 | 54¢ → 61¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 34 | 29¢ → 44¢ | $15 | +$5 +50% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 53 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$2 −24% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$2 −30% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 3d | No | 63 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 15 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$3 −51% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 48 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.