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Polymarket wallet 0x8d6241c1b9ebcb18d0f3e172400ed3acd0a92d60 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2025 · also shown as Fake-Minion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$6 +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 206 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 346 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11? | BuyYes73¢ | $11 |
| 256d | Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes71¢ | $15 |
| 256d | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BuyYes19¢ | $15 |
| 276d | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 279d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp49¢ | $100 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes52¢ | $151 |
| 283d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 283d | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $20 |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes31¢ | $90 |
| 297d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 3? | BuyYes96¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.