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Polymarket wallet 0x8e2c33d11177975e39bf057c626b6ccd2a178a16 · on Polymarket since Jun 19, 2025 · also shown as Hairy-Sledge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 313 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,688 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US military action against Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 691 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Syria before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 723 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 466d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BuyYes12¢ | $40 |
| 469d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $20 |
| 473d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BuyYes46¢ | $40 |
| 473d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
| 479d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $100 |
| 481d | Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? | BuyYes77¢ | $50 |
| 481d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 487d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Israel withdraws from Syria before July? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | BuyNo14¢ | $100 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo16¢ | $50 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SellYes84¢ | $836 |
| 491d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyYes10¢ | $100 |
| 491d | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo40¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.