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Polymarket wallet 0x930ebd3ab04b60886f0c93d85bd9f46900129394 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Quintessential-Panther
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 13 | 67¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$7 −74% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyNo67¢ | $9 |
| 160d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes24¢ | $9 |
| 397d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes36¢ | $14 |
| 473d | US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August? | BuyYes73¢ | $25 |
| 479d | Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 14 and July 20? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 479d | Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 7 and July 13? | BuyYes44¢ | $5 |
| 479d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $5 |
| 479d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 479d | US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline? | BuyNo19¢ | $4 |
| 479d | Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing? | BuyNo80¢ | $20 |
| 479d | Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | BuyNo66¢ | $40 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes7¢ | $36 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.