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Polymarket wallet 0x98e657203fefa6e2d3d6cca7353357b76fda42e7 · on Polymarket since Mar 15, 2026 · also shown as Trusty-Plaintiff
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 3,747 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $3,035 | −$115 −3.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,450 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $2,094 | +$23 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 1,895 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$170 +9.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 4h | Yes | 1,807 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $1,799 | +$115 +6.8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 1,753 | 91¢ → 79¢ | $1,391 | −$207 −13% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,190 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1,125 | +$125 +13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 753 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $689 | −$11 −1.6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 677 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $579 | −$37 −6.0% |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$6 +2.0% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$4 +1.5% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.