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Polymarket wallet 0x9c64076bf02894dda28a6501f2063e20c6b87fa2 · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2024 · also shown as Petty-Depressive
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,123 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 311d | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $270 |
| 311d | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $7 |
| 355d | Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | BuyNo>99¢ | $280 |
| 362d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $158 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $20 |
| 374d | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo96¢ | $6 |
| 374d | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo96¢ | $1,058 |
| 374d | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,073 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo97¢ | $1,065 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,068 |
| 683d | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyYes65¢ | $1 |
| 708d | Lakers vs. Pelicans | BuyLakers74¢ | $1 |
| 729d | Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? | BuyYes99¢ | $6 |
| 757d | Eric Adams indicted in 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8 |
| 790d | Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday? | BuyYes96¢ | $6 |
| 826d | Solana above $165 on July 26? | BuyYes67¢ | $4 |
| 852d | Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election? | BuyYes71¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.