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Polymarket wallet 0x9feb2b44fd441d1431e85138f373f043b659d61d · on Polymarket since Jul 31, 2024 · also shown as Creative-Exasperation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 714 | 28¢ → 17¢ | $120 | −$80 −40% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 98d | Yes | 405 | 37¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$116 −77% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 91 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 129 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 351 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 327d | US recession by end of 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $150 |
| 380d | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BuyNo58¢ | $75 |
| 380d | Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $200 |
| 380d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyNo51¢ | $150 |
| 424d | Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30? | BuyYes25¢ | $34 |
| 430d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BuyNo70¢ | $150 |
| 430d | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $150 |
| 430d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes28¢ | $200 |
| 432d | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BuyDown55¢ | $50 |
| 432d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $300 |
| 446d | Will Trump say "Nuclear weapon" this week? | BuyYes64¢ | $38 |
| 451d | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $25 |
| 451d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp71¢ | $100 |
| 453d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BuyNo60¢ | $15 |
| 453d | Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31? | BuyYes25¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.