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Polymarket wallet 0xa177fd151952102041129a50c4ad70ea496e47b1 · on Polymarket since Feb 11, 2026 · also shown as Stable-Pantologist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +96% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $3 | +$1 +28% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes81¢ | $1 |
| 149d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BuyYes57¢ | $3 |
| 149d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes81¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo66¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BuyNo67¢ | $2 |
| 158d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $2 |
| 158d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes51¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $3 |
| 158d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo66¢ | $2 |
| 158d | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? | BuyDown83¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.