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Polymarket wallet 0xa2dfc6b5200ab33f84ca78977fe47b33243a93c4 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Honored-Nick
I came. I saw. I wrote code.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 61 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuyArgentina41¢ | $26 |
| 113d | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BuyYes11¢ | $11 |
| 113d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SellYes5¢ | $3 |
| 113d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SellYes10¢ | $4 |
| 113d | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SellYes4¢ | $6 |
| 282d | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $13 |
| 282d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BuyYes26¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | BuyNo81¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo60¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BuyYes28¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.