| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 100 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $39 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $26 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $19 | −$2 −8.6% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?Ends in 29d | No | 30 | 71¢ → 63¢ | $19 | −$2 −11% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | No | 30 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 28 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 51¢ → 39¢ | $12 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$7 −41% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$2 −13% |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 26d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$3 −24% |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $10 | −$2 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$1 −15% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 30 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$2 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 9 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 10 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 65¢ | $6 | −$1 −15% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$5 −47% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 11 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.0% |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?Ends in 95d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 17 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $6 | −$1 −20% |
| Will PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Ends in 128d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$2 −27% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 30 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$2 −24% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$4 −41% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$1 −22% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$2 −28% |
| Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 75¢ → 29¢ | $5 | −$8 −61% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$1 −23% |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 46¢ | $5 | −$2 −29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$33 −89% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?Ends in 274d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$1 −19% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 34 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$14 −82% |
| Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 42¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $3 | −$0 −6.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 33¢ → 29¢ | $3 | −$0 −12% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 70¢ → 54¢ | $3 | −$1 −23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Ends in 11d | No | 3 | 63¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +43% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?Ends in 29d | Yes | 7 | 27¢ → 37¢ | $3 | +$1 +37% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 27¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$1 −31% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −15% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 46¢ | $2 | +$1 +59% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$1 +43% |
| Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?Ends in 261d | Yes | 5 | 58¢ → 41¢ | $2 | −$1 −30% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$0 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?Ends in 29d | Yes | 8 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.5% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$5 −73% |
| Will Chronicle play for Team Vitality in 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 38¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$4 −67% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 24% to 28%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$3 −61% |
| Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 15¢ | $2 | −$1 −32% |
| Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$3 −67% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$2 −61% |
| Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?Ends in 261d | Yes | 4 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$2 −63% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 54¢ → 63¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$1 −40% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$7 −93% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $0 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$0 −45% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 41 | 19¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US bank failure by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
